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Method 2: Direct Estimation

An alternative to estimating a continuous concentration curve is to evaluate the integral in equation (2) directly as a weighted sum of the observed instantaneous loads:

where

N
is the number of measured concentrations;

is the weight assigned to the i-th observation.

= is the instantaneous load at .

If load is measured uniformly in time, or at random, the same weight might be applied to each instantaneous load. In this case the value of would depend only on the number of measured concentrations per unit time. However, more precise load estimates can usually be obtained by selectively sampling at those times when uncertainty about the instantaneous load is greatest. Under these circumstances, the weights will vary.

Direct methods have some important advantages over the rating curve. In general they require fewer assumptions about the underlying physical process. Also, because direct methods do not involve transformations of the data, they are not subject to retransformation bias.





U.S. National Report to IUGG, 1991-1994
Rev. Geophys. Vol. 33 Suppl., © 1995 American Geophysical Union