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References

1
Allen, J. H., and D. C. Wilkinson, Solar-terrestrial activity affecting systems in space and on Earth, in Solar-Terrestrial Predictions -- IV, Vol. 1, edited by J. Hruska, M. A. Shea, D. F. Smart, and G. Heckman, pp. 75--107, NOAA, Boulder, 1993.

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Baker, D. N., R. D. Zwickl, S. J. Bame, E. W. Hones, Jr., B. T. Tsurutani, E. J. Smith, and S.-I. Akasofu, An ISEE-3 high-resolution study of interplanetary parameter correlations with magnetic activity, J. Geophys. Res., 88, 6230, 1983.

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Blais, G., and P. Metsa, Operating the Hydro-Quebec grid under magnetic storm conditions since the storm of 13 March 1989, in Solar-Terrestrial Predictions -- IV, Vol. 1, edited by J. Hruska, M. A. Shea, D. F. Smart, and G. Heckman, pp. 108-130, NOAA, Boulder, 1993.

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Cliffswallow, W., and J. W. Hirman, U. S. space weather real-time observing and forecasting capabilities, in Solar-Terrestrial Predictions -- IV, Vol. 1, edited by J. Hruska, M. A. Shea, D. F. Smart, and G. Heckman, pp. 185-200, NOAA, Boulder, 1993.

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Goertz, C. K., L.-H. Shan, and R. A. Smith, Prediction of geomagnetic activity, J. Geophys. Res., 98, 7673, 1993.

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Gosling, J. T., The solar flare myth, J. Geophys. Res., 98, 18,937, 1993.

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Gussenhoven, M. S., D. A. Hardy, F. Rich, W. J. Burke and H.-C. Yeh, High-level spacecraft charging in the low-altitude polar auroral environment, J. Geophys. Res., 90, 11,009, 1985.

10
Heinemann, M., N. C. Maynard, D. N. Anderson, and F. Marcos, Space weather forecasting system, in Solar-Terrestrial Predictions -- IV, Vol. 2, edited by J. Hruska, M. A. Shea, D. F. Smart, and G. Heckman, pp. 565-572, NOAA, Boulder, 1993.

11
Heroux, P., and A. Kleusberg, GPS precise relative positioning and ionosphere in auroral regions, Proc. Fifth International Symposium on Satellite Positioning, Las Cruces, NM, March 13-17, 1989.

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16
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20
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McPherron, R. L., and G. Rostoker, Comment on ``Prediction of geomagnetic activity'' by C. K. Goertz, L.-H. Shan and R. A. Smith, J. Geophys. Res., 98, 7685, 1993.

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Medford, L. V., L. J. Lanzerotti, J. S. Kraus, and C. G. Maclennan, Transatlantic Earth potential variations during the March 1989 magnetic storm, Geophys. Res. Lett., 16, 1145, 1989.

23
Pratt, R. L., Geomagnetic effects on manufacturing processes, in Solar-Terrestrial Predictions -- IV, Vol. 1, edited by J. Hruska, M. A. Shea, D. F. Smart, and G. Heckman, pp. 258-261, NOAA, Boulder, 1993.

24
Schunk, R. W., L. Zhu, and J. J. Sojka, Ionospheric response to traveling convection twin vortices, Geophys. Res. Lett., 21, 1759, 1994.

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Shapka, R., Geomagnetic effects on modern pipeline systems, Solar-Terrestrial Predictions -- IV, Vol. 1, eds. J. Hruska, M. A. Shea, D. F. Smart, and G. Heckman, pp. 163-170, NOAA, Boulder, 1993.

26
Shea, M. A., and D. F. Smart, Solar proton events: history, statistics and predictions, in Solar-Terrestrial Predictions -- IV, Vol. 2, edited by J. Hruska, M. A. Shea, D. F. Smart, and G. Heckman, pp. 48-70, NOAA, Boulder, 1993.

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Siscoe, G., E. Hildner, T. L. Killeen, L. J. Lanzerotti, and W. Lotko, A National Space Weather Service, EOS: Trans. Am. Geophys. Union, 75, 353, 1994.

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Sojka, J. J., M. D. Bowline, and R. W. Schunk, Patches in the polar ionosphere: UT and seasonal dependence, J. Geophys. Res., 99, 14,959, 1994.

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Solar Terrestrial Predictions -- IV, edited by J. Hruska, M. A. Shea, D. F. Smart, and G. Hechman, (in 3 Volumes), NOAA, Boulder, 1993.

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Substorms 1 (Proceedings of the First International Conference on Substorms, Kiruna, Sweden), ESA SP-335, ESA Publications, Noordwijk,= 1992.

31
Thompson, K. R., Impact of Geomagnetic activity on power systems, in Solar-Terrestrial Predictions -- IV, Vol. 1, edited by J. Hruska, M. A. Shea, D. F. Smart, and G. Heckman, pp. 171-179, NOAA, Boulder, 1993.

32
Vassiliadis, D., The input-state space approach to the prediction of auroral geomagnetic activity from solar wind variables, Applications of Artificial Intelligence in Solar Terrestrial Physics, edited by J. Joselyn, H. Lundstedt and J. Trolinger, pp. 145-151, NOAA, Boulder, 1994.

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Vassiliadis, D., A. S. Sharma, and K. Papadopoulos, Low dimensional chaos in magnetospheric activity from AE time series, Geophys. Res. Lett., 17,1841-1844, 1990.

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Vassiliadis, D., A. S. Sharma, and K. Papadopoulos, An empirical model relating the auroral geomagnetic activity to the interplanetary magnetic field, Geophys. Res. Lett., 20, 1731-1734, 1993.

 
Figure: Illustration of the solar and terrestrial environment on 23-24 March 1991. Top: the 1-8 Å soft solar X-ray flux as measured by the GOES-7 synchronous orbit spacecraft. Associated solar flares are indicated immediately below. Four selected integral proton flux energies from the GOES-7 spacecraft are shown in the center panel. The GOES-7 magnetometer is shown next followed by the Earth's magnetic field variations observed at Fredricksburg, Virginia. Below is the cosmic radiation intensity, as measured by the neutron monitor at Deep River, Canada. A summary of the spacecraft effects and other operational anomalies are listed at the bottom with the arrows indicating the times of degraded operation [ Shea and Smart, 1993].

 
Figure 2: A history graphic of the customer groups served by SESC, showing both the time when each use was started and the growing need for space weather predictions and services. Note that each new customer added over the years has continued the need for services from the time of addition to the present (courtesy of E. Hildner, NOAA/SEL).

 



U.S. National Report to IUGG, 1991-1994
Rev. Geophys. Vol. 33 Suppl., © 1995 American Geophysical Union