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Summary

The atmospheric transport studies of Keeling et al. (1989) and Tans et al. (1990) raise important issues about the carbon cycle. They force us to look at the carbon cycle as a global system, which may include large terrestrial carbon sinks due to CO fertilization. Tans et al. have challenged the idea that the ocean is an important CO sink. However, research over the last four years supports the idea that the ocean is probably taking up 2 GtC/yr of anthropogenic CO. It suggests that this level of uptake can be reconciled with atmospheric CO gradients. A complete reconciliation involves a renewed emphasis on the natural carbon cycle as it pertains to interhemispheric transport, nutrient cycles, and river fluxes.

The next four years of carbon research will be focused on a better characterization of the ocean's DIC and pCO fields and a better characterization of the C system, including atmospheric measurements of C, which should allow use of atmospheric C gradients to constrain aspects of the carbon cycle. We should also expect to see a renewed emphasis on the natural carbon cycle in ocean general circulation models (GCMs). Ocean GCMs have not, to this point, been used to very effectively to study the natural carbon cycle and its effect on the perturbed modern carbon system.



U.S. National Report to IUGG, 1991-1994
Rev. Geophys. Vol. 33 Suppl., © 1995 American Geophysical Union